The prognostic value of serial troponin measurements in patients admitted for COVID-19

ESC Heart Fail. 2021 Oct;8(5):3504-3511. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.13462. Epub 2021 Jul 8.

Abstract

Aims: Myocardial injury (MI) in coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) is quite prevalent at admission and affects prognosis. Little is known about troponin trajectories and their prognostic role. We aimed to describe the early in-hospital evolution of MI and its prognostic impact.

Methods and results: We performed an analysis from an Italian multicentre study enrolling COVID-19 patients, hospitalized from 1 March to 9 April 2020. MI was defined as increased troponin level. The first troponin was tested within 24 h from admission, the second one between 24 and 48 h. Elevated troponin was defined as values above the 99th percentile of normal values. Patients were divided in four groups: normal, normal then elevated, elevated then normal, and elevated. The outcome was in-hospital death. The study population included 197 patients; 41% had normal troponin at both evaluations, 44% had elevated troponin at both assessments, 8% had normal then elevated troponin, and 7% had elevated then normal troponin. During hospitalization, 49 (25%) patients died. Patients with incident MI, with persistent MI, and with MI only at admission had a higher risk of death compared with those with normal troponin at both evaluations (P < 0.001). At multivariable analysis, patients with normal troponin at admission and MI injury on Day 2 had the highest mortality risk (hazard ratio 3.78, 95% confidence interval 1.10-13.09, P = 0.035).

Conclusions: In patients admitted for COVID-19, re-test MI on Day 2 provides a prognostic value. A non-negligible proportion of patients with incident MI on Day 2 is identified at high risk of death only by the second measurement.

Keywords: COVID-19; COVID-19 outcome; Myocardial injury; Troponin trajectories.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / diagnosis
  • COVID-19* / mortality
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Hospitalization
  • Humans
  • Italy
  • Prognosis
  • Troponin / blood*

Substances

  • Troponin