Using Ultrasound to Screen for Scoliosis to Reduce Unnecessary Radiographic Radiation: A Prospective Diagnostic Accuracy Study on 442 Schoolchildren

Abstract

Scoliosis screening is important for timely initiation of brace treatment to mitigate curve progression in skeletally immature children and adolescents. School scoliosis screening programs in Hong Kong follow the protocol of referring children screened positive with a scoliometer and Moiré topography for confirmatory standard radiography. Despite being highly sensitive (88%) in detecting those who require specialist referral, the screening program was found to have a false-positive rate >50%, which could lead to unnecessary X-ray radiation. Radiation-free ultrasound has been reported to be valid and reliable for quantitative assessment of curve severity in scoliosis patients. The aim of this prospective diagnostic accuracy study was to determine the accuracy of ultrasound in determining the threshold of referral that requires X-ray for children screened positive with the scoliometer and Moiré topography. Our study recruited 442 schoolchildren with a mean Cobb angle of 14.0 ± 6.6°. The sensitivity and specificity of ultrasound in predicting the correct referral status, confirmed by X-ray, were 92.3% and 51.6%, with positive and negative predictive values of 29.0% and 96.9%, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed area under the curve values of 0.735 for ultrasound alone and 0.832 for ultrasound in combination with measurement of angle of trunk rotation. The finding supports the accuracy of using ultrasound to determine referral status, which could result in a >50% reduction of unnecessary radiation for children undergoing scoliosis screening.

Keywords: Prognostic diagnostic accuracy study; Schoolchildren; Scoliosis; Screening; Ultrasound.