On study of fractional order epidemic model of COVID-19 under non-singular Mittag-Leffler kernel

Results Phys. 2021 Jul:26:104402. doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104402. Epub 2021 Jun 12.

Abstract

This paper investigates the analysis of the fraction mathematical model of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which is indeed a source of threat all over the globe. This paper deals with the transmission mechanism by some affected parameters in the problem. The said study is carried out by the consideration of a fractional-order epidemic model describing the dynamics of COVID-19 under a non-singular kernel type of derivative. The concerned model examine via non-singular fractional-order derivative known as Atangana-Baleanu derivative in Caputo sense (ABC). The problem analyzes for qualitative analysis and determines at least one solution by applying the approach of fixed point theory. The uniqueness of the solution is derived by the Banach contraction theorem. For iterative solution, the technique of iterative fractional-order Adams-Bashforth scheme is applied. Numerical simulation for the proposed scheme is performed at various fractional-order lying between 0, 1 and for integer-order 1. We also compare the compartmental quantities of the said model at two different effective contact rates of β . All the compartments show convergence and stability with growing time. The simulation of the iterative techniques is also compared with the Laplace Adomian decomposition method (LADM). Good comparative results for the whole density have been achieved by different fractional orders and obtain the stability faster at the low fractional orders while slowly at higher-order.

Keywords: 34D20; 37A25; 37M01; Adams–Bashforth method; COVID-19; Fractional mathematical model; Numerical simulations; Qualitative analysis.