An Artificial Intelligence-Based Model for Performance Prediction of Acid Fracturing in Naturally Fractured Reservoirs

Abstract

Acid fracturing is one of the most effective techniques for improving the productivity of naturally fractured carbonate reservoirs. Natural fractures (NFs) significantly affect the design and performance of acid fracturing treatments. However, few models have considered the impact of NFs on acid fracturing treatments. This study presents a simple and computationally efficient model for evaluating acid fracturing efficiency in naturally fractured reservoirs using artificial intelligence-based techniques. In this work, the productivity enhancement due to acid fracturing is determined by considering the complex interactions between natural and hydraulic fractures. Several artificial intelligence (AI) techniques were examined to develop a reliable predictive model. An artificial neural network (ANN), a fuzzy logic (FL) system, and a support vector machine (SVM) were used. The developed model predicts the productivity improvement based on reservoir permeability and geomechanical properties (e.g., Young's modulus and closure stress), natural fracture properties, and design conditions (i.e., acid injection rate, acid concentration, treatment volume, and acid types). Also, several evaluation indices were used to evaluate the model reliability including the correlation coefficient, average absolute percentage error, and average absolute deviation. The AI model was trained and tested using more than 3100 scenarios for different reservoir and treatment conditions. The developed ANN model can predict the productivity improvement with a 3.13% average absolute error and a 0.98 correlation coefficient, for the testing (unseen) data sets. Moreover, an empirical equation was extracted from the optimized ANN model to provide a direct estimation for productivity improvement based on the reservoir and treatment design parameters. The extracted equation was evaluated using validation data where a 4.54% average absolute error and a 0.99 correlation coefficient were achieved. The obtained results and degree of accuracy show the high reliability of the proposed model. Compared to the conventional simulators, the developed model reduces the time required for predicting the productivity improvement by more than 60-fold; therefore, it can be used on the fly to select the best design scenarios for naturally fractured formations.