Multivariate approach for longitudinal analysis of brain metabolite levels from ages 5-11 years in children with perinatal HIV infection

Abstract

Treatment guidelines recommend that children with perinatal HIV infection (PHIV) initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) early in life and remain on it lifelong. As part of a longitudinal study examining the long-term consequences of PHIV and early ART on the developing brain, 89 PHIV children and a control group of 85 HIV uninfected children (HIV-) received neuroimaging at ages 5, 7, 9 and 11 years, including single voxel magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) in three brain regions, namely the basal ganglia (BG), midfrontal gray matter (MFGM) and peritrigonal white matter (PWM). We analysed age-related changes in absolute metabolite concentrations using a multivariate approach traditionally applied to ecological data, the Correlated Response Model (CRM) and compared these to results obtained from a multilevel mixed effect modelling (MMEM) approach. Both approaches produce similar outcomes in relation to HIV status and age effects on longitudinal trajectories. Both methods found similar age-related increases in both PHIV and HIV- children in almost all metabolites across regions. We found significantly elevated GPC+PCh across regions (95% CI=[0.033; 0.105] in BG; 95% CI=[0.021; 0.099] in PWM; 95% CI=[0.059; 0.137] in MFGM) and elevated mI in MFGM (95% CI=[0.131; 0.407]) among children living with PHIV compared to HIV- children; additionally the CRM model also indicated elevated mI in BG (95% CI=[0.008; 0.248]). These findings suggest persistent inflammation across the brain in young children living with HIV despite early ART initiation.

Keywords: Brain metabolites; Correlated response model (CRM); Longitudinal analysis; Magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS); Multilevel mixed effect model (MMEM); Perinatal HIV infection.