Excess of all-cause mortality is only partially explained by COVID-19 in Veneto (Italy) during spring outbreak

BMC Public Health. 2021 Apr 26;21(1):797. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-10832-7.

Abstract

Background: Italy has been the first European country to be affected by the COVID-19 epidemic which started out at the end of February. In this report, we focus our attention on the Veneto Region, in the North-East of Italy, which is one of the areas that were first affected by the rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2. We aim to evaluate the trend of all-cause mortality and to give a description of the characteristics of the studied population.

Methods: Data used in the analyses were released by the majority of municipalities and cover the 93% of the total population living in the Veneto Region. We evaluated the trend of overall mortality from Jan.01 to Jun.30. 2020. Moreover we compared the COVID-19-related deaths to the overall deaths.

Results: From March 2020, the overall mortality rate increased exponentially, affecting males and people aged > 76 the most. The confirmed COVID-19-related death rate in the Veneto region between Mar.01 and Apr.302020 is 30 per 100,000 inhabitants. In contrast, the all-cause mortality increase registered in the same months in the municipalities included in the study is 219 per 100,000 inhabitants.

Conclusions: COVID-19 has a primary role in the increase in mortality but does not entirely explain such a high number of deaths. Strategies need to be developed to reduce this gap in case of future waves of the pandemic.

Keywords: COVID-19; Italy; Mortality; Public health burden.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • COVID-19*
  • Cities
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Europe
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Mortality
  • SARS-CoV-2