The influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma varies with patient's age

Gland Surg. 2021 Mar;10(3):961-972. doi: 10.21037/gs-20-747.

Abstract

Background: Thyroid nodule size is one of the key parameters that determines the operative approach for thyroid carcinoma. It is necessary to evaluate the influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma. The eighth edition of staging system has updated the prognostic age cutoff from 45 to 55 years old. It is needed to re-evaluate the difference in aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma between younger (<55 years old) and older (≥55 years old) patients. Importantly, whether the influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma varies according to the new age stratification remains to be explored.

Methods: Medical records from patients were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with a documented thyroid ultrasonography (US), US-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) and histopathology were included. The risks of unfavorable events such as central-compartment neck lymph node (CLN) metastasis, lateral-compartment neck lymph node (LLN) metastasis and gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE) were analyzed in four subsets of patients according to size and age.

Results: Large nodule size (≥10 mm) significantly increased the frequencies of CLN metastasis, LLN metastasis and gross ETE (P<0.05). The frequency of CLN metastasis was significantly higher in younger patients compared with that in older ones. Logistic regression analysis recognized large nodule size as an independent risk factor for all CLN metastasis (OR: 3.304, 95% CI: 2.473-4.415), LLN metastasis (OR: 9.673, 95% CI: 4.542-20.597), and gross ETE (OR: 2.430, 95% CI: 1.508-3.916). Secondly, in younger patients, frequencies of all CLN metastasis, LLN metastasis and gross ETE were significantly higher in nodules ≥10 mm than in nodules <10 mm (P<0.001). However, in older patients, no significant difference was found in the frequencies of LLN metastasis or gross ETE between nodules <10 mm and ≥10 mm. Logistic regression analysis showed, in younger patients, large nodule size was an independent risk factor for all CLN metastasis (OR: 3.241, 95% CI: 2.393-4.389), LLN metastasis (OR: 12.495, 95% CI: 5.281-29.562), and gross ETE (OR: 2.591, 95% CI: 1.519-4.419), while in older patients large nodule size was recognized as an independent risk factor for CLN metastasis (OR: 3.924, 95% CI: 1.413-10.899) but not for LLN metastasis or gross ETE.

Conclusions: Large nodule size is significantly related to high aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma. The correlation between large nodule size and high aggressiveness varies according to patient's age, indicating that the presence of unfavorable events has different clinical significance for patients of varied ages. These findings contribute to accurately assessing the prognosis of individual patient and developing a better management strategy.

Keywords: Thyroid carcinoma; age; extrathyroidal extension; lymph node metastasis; nodule size.