Trends in Risk-Adjusted 28-Day Mortality Rates for Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19 in England

J Hosp Med. 2021 May;16(5):290-293. doi: 10.12788/jhm.3599.

Abstract

Early reports showed high mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Mortality rates have recently been lower; however, patients are also now younger, with fewer comorbidities. We explored 28-day mortality for patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in England over a 5-month period, adjusting for a range of potentially mitigating variables, including sociodemographics and comorbidities. Among 102,610 hospitalizations, crude mortality decreased from 33.4% (95% CI, 32.9-34.0) in March 2020 to 15.5% (95% CI, 14.1-17.0) in July. Adjusted mortality decreased from 33.4% (95% CI, 32.8-34.1) in March to 17.4% (95% CI, 11.3-26.9) in July. The relative risk of mortality decreased from a reference of 1 in March to 0.52 (95% CI, 0.34-0.80) in July. This demonstrates that the reduction in mortality is not solely due to changes in the demographics of those with COVID-19.

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • COVID-19 / mortality*
  • Comorbidity
  • England / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality / trends*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Sex Factors
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • State Medicine