Impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on PM2.5 from 2014 to 2017

Abstract

The State Council of China had issued the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (abbreviated as "Clean Air Actions"), which ended in 2017. To evaluate the implementation effect of the clean air actions and provide the scientific basis on the future control policy, a Geographical Detector was used to quantify the impact of natural and socioeconomic factors on the PM_2.5 concentration and its reductions in China from the years of 2014-2017. In terms of the impact on PM_2.5 reduction, the industrial sulfur dioxide (SO₂) and industrial soot emissions are the only two factors shown significant influences. So the controls of industrial emission were the major policies during the implementation of the Clean Air Actions. In terms of the impact on the PM_2.5 concentrations, industrial emission was the strongest socioeconomic factor in the beginning of the Clean Air Actions, but its dominance was then declining. In contrast, the influences of population density had been enhancing and became the greatest factor in the final year. So the new control measures should focus on the urbanization regulation. In addition, the interactions between different socioeconomic factors are proved to bivariate enhance the influences on the PM_2.5 concentration levels. Multiple factors should thus be taken into account when any new control policies are going to be established.

Keywords: China; Clean air actions; Natural factors; PM(2.5); Socioeconomic factors.