Survival in untreated hepatocellular carcinoma: A national cohort study

PLoS One. 2021 Feb 4;16(2):e0246143. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246143. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the proportion, characteristics and prognosis of untreated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in a large representative nationwide study. A cohort study was conducted using the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database in Korea. A total of 63,668 newly-diagnosed HCC patients between January 2008 and December 2013 were analyzed. Patients were categorized into treatment group and no treatment group using claim codes after HCC diagnosis. The proportion of untreated HCC patients was 27.6%, decreasing from 33.4% in 2008 to 24.8% in 2013. Compared to treated patients, untreated patients were more likely to be older (P < 0.001), female (P < 0.01), to have a distant SEER stage (P < 0.001), severe liver disease (P < 0.001), and lower income (P < 0.001). The fully-adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality comparing untreated to treated patients was 3.11 (95% CI, 3.04-3.18). The risk of mortality was higher for untreated patients in all pre-defined subgroups, including those with distant SEER stage and those with severe liver disease. About one fourth of newly diagnosed HCC patients did not receive any HCC-specific treatment. Untreated patients showed higher risk of mortality compared to treated patients in all subgroups. Further studies are needed to identify obstacles for HCC treatment and to improve treatment rates.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / mortality*
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / pathology*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Databases, Factual
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Liver Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • National Health Programs
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Republic of Korea / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Sex Characteristics
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Survival Analysis

Grants and funding

This work was supported by National R&D Program for Cancer Control, Ministry of Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (1520240) and National Cancer Center Grant (NCC-1911275). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.