Relationship Between Acute Neurological Function and Long-Term Prognosis in Patients with Large Arterial Occlusions

Abstract

Objectives: To clarify the relationship between early neurological symptoms and long-term functional outcomes of acute ischemic stroke, which would be beneficial for patient management and determining clinical study criteria of novel therapeutic interventions.

Materials and methods: We retrieved data from the Recovery by Endovascular Salvage for Cerebral Ultra-acute Embolism Japan Registry 2 (RESCUE-Japan Registry 2) and investigated the association between 24- and 72-hour National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores, stratified by the site of occlusion (carotid or vertebrobasilar circulatory large arterial occlusion [ACO or PCO, respectively]) and endovascular recanalization therapy (EVT) performance. We examined the correlation using Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (rho). Predictive accuracies of 24- and 72-hour NIHSS scores for good outcomes at 90 days (defined as mRS score of 0-2) were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses and the corresponding areas under the curves (AUCs).

Results: Among the 2420 patients, 1745 had ACO (971 with EVT, 774 without EVT) and 263 had PCO (127 with EVT, 136 without EVT). The 24- and 72-hour NIHSS scores were significantly associated with 90-day mRS scores and accurately predicted good outcomes (all rhos ≥0.76, all AUCs ≥0.86). In the ACO group, there were differences in rho and AUC depending on EVT performance and the time from onset to NIHSS acquisition, but no differences were observed in the PCO group.

Conclusions: EVT performance and time frame should be considered when determining the criteria of novel therapeutic interventions, especially for patients with ACO.

Keywords: Clinical trials; Endovascular therapy; Large arterial occlusions; Long-term prognosis.