Increase in suicide following an initial decline during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan

Nat Hum Behav. 2021 Feb;5(2):229-238. doi: 10.1038/s41562-020-01042-z. Epub 2021 Jan 15.

Abstract

There is increasing concern that the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could harm psychological health and exacerbate suicide risk. Here, based on month-level records of suicides covering the entire Japanese population in 1,848 administrative units, we assessed whether suicide mortality changed during the pandemic. Using difference-in-difference estimation, we found that monthly suicide rates declined by 14% during the first 5 months of the pandemic (February to June 2020). This could be due to a number of complex reasons, including the government's generous subsidies, reduced working hours and school closure. By contrast, monthly suicide rates increased by 16% during the second wave (July to October 2020), with a larger increase among females (37%) and children and adolescents (49%). Although adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic may remain in the long term, its modifiers (such as government subsidies) may not be sustained. Thus, effective suicide prevention-particularly among vulnerable populations-should be an important public health consideration.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Distribution
  • Aged
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology*
  • Child
  • Employment / statistics & numerical data
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Sex Distribution
  • Suicide / trends*
  • Young Adult