The Bayesian Design of Adaptive Clinical Trials

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Jan 10;18(2):530. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18020530.

Abstract

This paper presents a brief overview of the recent literature on adaptive design of clinical trials from a Bayesian perspective for statistically not so sophisticated readers. Adaptive designs are attracting a keen interest in several disciplines, from a theoretical viewpoint and also-potentially-from a practical one, and Bayesian adaptive designs, in particular, have raised high expectations in clinical trials. The main conceptual tools are highlighted here, with a mention of several trial designs proposed in the literature that use these methods, including some of the registered Bayesian adaptive trials to this date. This review aims at complementing the existing ones on this topic, pointing at further interesting reading material.

Keywords: Bayesian designs; adaptive designs; adaptive randomization; clinical trials; predictive power; target allocation.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Adaptive Clinical Trials as Topic*
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Computer Simulation
  • Research Design*