Cross-scale interaction of host tree size and climatic water deficit governs bark beetle-induced tree mortality

Nat Commun. 2021 Jan 8;12(1):129. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-20455-y.

Abstract

The recent Californian hot drought (2012-2016) precipitated unprecedented ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) mortality, largely attributable to the western pine beetle (Dendroctonus brevicomis; WPB). Broad-scale climate conditions can directly shape tree mortality patterns, but mortality rates respond non-linearly to climate when local-scale forest characteristics influence the behavior of tree-killing bark beetles (e.g., WPB). To test for these cross-scale interactions, we conduct aerial drone surveys at 32 sites along a gradient of climatic water deficit (CWD) spanning 350 km of latitude and 1000 m of elevation in WPB-impacted Sierra Nevada forests. We map, measure, and classify over 450,000 trees within 9 km2, validating measurements with coincident field plots. We find greater size, proportion, and density of ponderosa pine (the WPB host) increase host mortality rates, as does greater CWD. Critically, we find a CWD/host size interaction such that larger trees amplify host mortality rates in hot/dry sites. Management strategies for climate change adaptation should consider how bark beetle disturbances can depend on cross-scale interactions, which challenge our ability to predict and understand patterns of tree mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • California
  • Droughts*
  • Ecological Parameter Monitoring / statistics & numerical data
  • Host-Parasite Interactions / physiology
  • Pheromones / metabolism
  • Pinus ponderosa / parasitology*
  • Pinus ponderosa / physiology
  • Plant Bark / parasitology
  • Plant Diseases / parasitology*
  • Plant Dispersal
  • Trees / parasitology*
  • Trees / physiology
  • Water
  • Weevils / pathogenicity*
  • Weevils / physiology

Substances

  • Pheromones
  • Water