Initial white blood cell count and revised Baux score predict subsequent bloodstream infection in burn patients: A retrospective analysis of severe burn patients from the Formosa color dust explosion of 2015

Abstract

Background: Infections are the most common complications among hospitalized severe burn patients. However, limited literature reports early effective predictors of bloodstream infections (BSI) among burn patients. This study aimed to identify cost-effective biomarkers and valuable clinical scoring systems in the emergency department (ED) for the prediction of subsequent BSI in mass burn casualties.

Methods: In 2015, a flammable cornstarch-based powder explosion resulted in 499 burn casualties in Taiwan. A total of 35 patients were admitted at Taipei Veterans General Hospital. These severe burn patients (median total body surface area [TBSA] 54%) were young and previously healthy. We assessed the potential of various parameters to predict subsequent BSI, including initial laboratory tests performed at the ED, TBSA, and multiple scoring systems.

Results: Fourteen patients (40.0%) had subsequent BSI. The most common causative pathogen was the Acinetobacter baumannii (Ab) group, mostly carbapenem resistant and associated with a poor outcome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve revealed that the revised Baux score, TBSA, and initial white blood cell count had excellent discrimination ability in predicting subsequent BSI (0.898, 0.889, and 0.821, respectively). The rate of subsequent BSI differed significantly at the cut-off points of revised Baux score >76, TBSA >55%, and WBC count >16,200/mm³.

Conclusion: The initial WBC count at the ED, TBSA, and revised Baux score were good and cost-effective biomarkers for predicting subsequent BSI after burn injuries.

Keywords: Bloodstream infection; Burn; Revised Baux score; White blood cell count.