Measuring serum melatonin concentrations to predict clinical outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Abstract

Background: Oxidative stress has a key role in brain injury and melatonin possesses antioxidant effects. We aimed to ascertain the potential relationship between serum melatonin concentrations and functional outcome following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Methods: This prospective and observational study was conducted of 169 aSAH patients. Baseline serum melatonin concentrations were determined. A worse 6-month functional outcome was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale score of 1-3.

Results: Patients with a worse outcome (56 cases) compared to those with a good outcome (113 cases) exhibited significantly higher concentrations of serum melatonin (P < 0.001). An area under the receiver operating curve of 0.819 was revealed for the prediction of 6-month worse outcome by serum melatonin concentrations. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed an independent association of serum melatonin concentrations with 6-month worse outcome (odds ratio = 1.204). An intimate correlation existed between serum melatonin concentrations and World Federation of Neurological Surgeons subarachnoid hemorrhage scale scores as well as between serum melatonin concentrations and modified Fisher scores (P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Patients with higher serum melatonin concentrations are more likely to have a poor prognosis. Serum melatonin can be considered as an independent predictor of functional outcome after aSAH.

Keywords: Aneurysm; Melatonin; Outcome; Severity; Subarachnoid hemorrhage.