Efficient Markets and Contingent Claims Valuation: An Information Theoretic Approach

Entropy (Basel). 2020 Nov 12;22(11):1283. doi: 10.3390/e22111283.

Abstract

This research article shows how the pricing of derivative securities can be seen from the context of stochastic optimal control theory and information theory. The financial market is seen as an information processing system, which optimizes an information functional. An optimization problem is constructed, for which the linearized Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation is the Black-Scholes pricing equation for financial derivatives. The model suggests that one can define a reasonable Hamiltonian for the financial market, which results in an optimal transport equation for the market drift. It is shown that in such a framework, which supports Black-Scholes pricing, the market drift obeys a backwards Burgers equation and that the market reaches a thermodynamical equilibrium, which minimizes the free energy and maximizes entropy.

Keywords: Black–Scholes equation; Burgers equation; entropy; financial markets; free energy; information theory; options pricing; stochastic optimal control.