Accurate evaluation of tumor response to preoperative chemotherapy is crucial for assigning appropriate patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) to surgery or conservative therapy. However, there is no well-recognized method for predicting pathological response before surgery. Our study constructed and validated a deep learning algorithm using prechemotherapy and postchemotherapy magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to predict pathological response in CRLM. CRLM patients from center one who had ≤5 lesions and were scheduled to receive preoperative chemotherapy followed by liver resection between January 2013 and November 2016, were included prospectively and chronologically divided into a training cohort (80% of patients) and a testing cohort (20% of patients). Patients from center two were included January 2017 and December 2018 as an external validation cohort. MRI-based models were constructed to discriminate according to pathology tumor regression grade (TRG) between the response (TRG1/2) and nonresponse (TRG3/4/5) groups at the lesion level. From center one, 155 patients (328 lesions) were included; chronologically, 101 (264 lesions) in the training cohort and 54 (64 lesions) in the testing cohort. The model achieved better accuracy (0.875 vs 0.578) and AUC (0.849 vs 0.615) than RECIST for discriminating response; it also distinguished the survival outcomes after hepatectomy better than the RECIST criteria. Evaluations of the external validation cohort (25 patients, 61 lesions) also showed good ability with an AUC of 0.833. In conclusion, the MRI-based deep learning model provided accurate prediction of pathological tumor response to preoperative chemotherapy in patients with CRLM and may inform individualized treatment.
Keywords: colorectal liver metastases; deep learning; magnetic resonance imaging; tumor regression grade.
© 2020 UICC.