Background and purpose: We assessed prospectively whether nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its severity predict future ischemic stroke (IS) events in a community-based cohort.
Methods: From the Kailuan study, participants free of history of stroke, cancer, or myocardial infarction were enrolled after excluding alcohol abuse and other liver diseases. NAFLD was evaluated through ultrasonography. Participants with NAFLD were further stratified into mild, moderate, and severe groups. The outcome was the first occurrence of IS. The secondary outcomes included myocardial infarction and combined vascular events. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs of incident IS according to presence and severity of NAFLD, adjusting for age, sex, physical activity, body mass index, smoker, history of hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, lipid-lowering medication, HDL (high-density lipoprotein), triglyceride, hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein), and fasting blood glucose.
Results: During a median of 10.34 years of follow-up, we documented 3490 incident stroke cases among 79 905 participants. NAFLD was found in 24 874 (31.18%) participants. Relative to participants without NAFLD at the baseline, those with NAFLD had a 16% higher risk (95% CI, 1.07-1.26) of developing ischemic stroke, after adjusted for confounding variables. The hazard ratios for patients with mild, moderate, and severe NAFLD were 1.15 (95% CI, 1.05-1.25), 1.19 (95% CI, 1.06-1.34), and 1.21 (95% CI, 1.08-1.50), respectively.
Conclusions: The severity of NAFLD is associated with a higher risk of future ischemic stroke events.
Keywords: blood glucose; hypercholesterolemia; hypertension; lipoprotein; myocardial infarction.