Revisiting the association between temperature and COVID-19 transmissibility across 117 countries

Simiao Chen; Klaus Prettner; Bin Cao; Pascal Geldsetzer; Michael Kuhn; David E Bloom; Till Bärnighausen; Chen Wang

doi:10.1183/23120541.00550-2020

Revisiting the association between temperature and COVID-19 transmissibility across 117 countries

ERJ Open Res. 2020 Nov 2;6(4):00550-2020. doi: 10.1183/23120541.00550-2020. eCollection 2020 Oct.

Authors

Simiao Chen^{1

2

3}, Klaus Prettner^{4

3}, Bin Cao⁵, Pascal Geldsetzer^{1

6}, Michael Kuhn⁷, David E Bloom⁸, Till Bärnighausen^{1

2

8

9

10}, Chen Wang^{2

5

11

12

10}

Affiliations

¹ Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University Medical School, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.
² Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
³ Co-first authors.
⁴ Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), Dept of Economics, Vienna, Austria.
⁵ Dept of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China.
⁶ Division of Primary Care and Population Health, Dept of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
⁷ Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, OeAW, University Vienna), Vienna Institute of Demography, Vienna, Austria.
⁸ Dept of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
⁹ Africa Health Research Institute (AHRI), Somkhele, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
¹⁰ Co-senior authors.
¹¹ National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China.
¹² Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing, China.

Abstract

There is a robust and significant negative association between #COVID19 transmissibility and ambient temperature at the country level. An increase of 1°C in temperature is associated with a decrease in the prevalence of COVID-19 by ∼5.4%. https://bit.ly/32OTBiS.

Abstract

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