Evaluation of the effect of different policies in the containment of epidemic spreads for the COVID-19 case

Paolo Di Giamberardino; Daniela Iacoviello

doi:10.1016/j.bspc.2020.102325

Evaluation of the effect of different policies in the containment of epidemic spreads for the COVID-19 case

Biomed Signal Process Control. 2021 Mar:65:102325. doi: 10.1016/j.bspc.2020.102325. Epub 2020 Nov 26.

Authors

Paolo Di Giamberardino¹, Daniela Iacoviello¹

Affiliation

¹ Department of Computer, Control and Management Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.

Abstract

The paper presents a new mathematical model for the SARS-CoV-2 virus propagation, designed to include all the possible actions to prevent the spread and to help in the healing of infected people. After a discussion on the equilibrium and stability properties of the model, the effects of each different control actions on the evolution of the epidemic spread are analysed, through numerical evaluations for a more intuitive and immediate presentation, showing the consequences on the classes of the population.

Keywords: COVID-19; Control effect prediction; Epidemic model; Spread reduction.