Wastewater-based prevalence trends of gout in an Australian community over a period of 8 years

Abstract

Gout is a rheumatic arthritis disease which poses a health burden. Monitoring the prevalence of gout is key to reduce the community burden of gout disease and associated health costs. Allopurinol has been used as a first line gout preventive medication in Australia which is metabolised into oxypurinol and excreted in urine. Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) was applied to estimate temporal trends of gout prevalence in an Australian community over eight-years via the quantification of oxypurinol in wastewater. A total of 180 wastewater samples collected between 2012 and 2019 were analysed for oxypurinol to estimate allopurinol consumption in a community in South East Queensland, Australia. Annual gout prevalence was estimated by daily defined doses (DDD) consumed and ranged from 24 to 32 DDD/day/1000, an equivalent gout prevalence of 2.3 to 3.2% over the eight-year period. A statistically significant increase in allopurinol consumption was observed over the period (Slope = 0.094, p = 0.0001), equating to year-on-year increases in gout prevalence of 3.6% per year. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first long-term gout prevalence study using wastewater, adding epidemiological and public health insights in the gout research field.

Keywords: Australia; Gout; Prevalence; Rheumatic diseases; Wastewater.