Evolution of Risk Calculators and the Dawn of Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Patient Complications

Jerica L Podrat; Fernando Ramirez Del Val; Kevin Y Pei

doi:10.1016/j.suc.2020.08.012

Evolution of Risk Calculators and the Dawn of Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Patient Complications

Surg Clin North Am. 2021 Feb;101(1):97-107. doi: 10.1016/j.suc.2020.08.012. Epub 2020 Nov 2.

Authors

Jerica L Podrat¹, Fernando Ramirez Del Val¹, Kevin Y Pei²

Affiliations

¹ Department of Surgery, Houston Methodist Hospital, 6550 Fannin Street, Suite SM1661, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
² Parkview Health GME, 2200 Randallia Drive, Administration, Fort Wayne, IN 46805, USA. Electronic address: kypei@houstonmethodist.org.

PMID: 33212083
DOI: 10.1016/j.suc.2020.08.012

Abstract

Risk calculators are an underused tool for surgeons and trainees when determining and communicating surgical risk. We summarize some of the more common risk calculators and discuss their evolution and limitations. We also describe artificial intelligence models, which have the potential to help clinicians better understand and use risk assessment.

Keywords: Artificial intelligence; Morbidity; Risk calculator.

Publication types

Review

MeSH terms

Artificial Intelligence*
Forecasting
Humans
Postoperative Complications / epidemiology*
Risk Assessment / methods*