Background: To identify trends in the epidemiological and economic burden of diabetes in the elderly.
Methods: Using the Box-Jenkins method to estimate expected cases for the period 2020-2022, costs were determined with the instrumentation technique. The population base was 4 032 189 older adults diagnosed with diabetes in 2019.
Results: Regarding the epidemiological burden, there is an increase of 11-15% (p<0.001). Comparing the economic burden for 2020 vs 2022, the increase is estimated as 29% (p<0.05).
Conclusion: In the framework of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the increase in diabetes cases and costs in older adults substantially complicates the scope of universal coverage for patients with diabetes.
Keywords: diabetes management; economic burden; epidemiological trends; older adults.
© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.