Serum uric acid and mortality thresholds among men and women in the Irish health system: A cohort study

Abstract

Background: Elevation of serum uric acid (SUA) is associated with increased mortality; however, controversy exists regarding the nature of the relationship and differences between men and women. We explored relationships of SUA levels with all-cause mortality in a large cohort of patients within the Irish health system.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study of 26,525 participants was conducted using data from the National Kidney Disease Surveillance System. SUA was modelled in increments of 59.48 µmol/L (1 mg/dL), Cox's proportional hazards model estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), median lifetimes were also computed separately for men and women. Mortality patterns were further explored using penalised splines.

Results: There were 1,288 (4.9%) deaths over a median follow-up of 5.1 years. In men, the risk of mortality was greatest for the lowest (<238 µmol/L) and highest (>535 µmol/L) categories [HR 2.35 (1.65-3.14) and HR 2.52 (1.87-3.29) respectively]; the corresponding median lifetimes for men were reduced by 9.5 and 11.7 years respectively compared to the referent. In women, mortality risks were elevated for SUA >416 mol/L [HR 1.69 (1.13-2.47) and beyond; the corresponding median lifetime for women were reduced by 5.9 years compared to the referent. Spline analysis revealed a U-shaped association between SUA and mortality in men, while for women, the pattern of association was J-shaped.

Conclusion: Mortality patterns attributed to SUA differ between men and women. Optimal survival was associated with SUA concentrations of 304-454 µmol/L for men and < 409 µmol/L for women.

Keywords: Irish adults; Lifetimes; Mortality; Non-linear; Serum uric acid.