Evolving population distribution in China's border regions: Spatial differences, driving forces and policy implications

PLoS One. 2020 Oct 19;15(10):e0240592. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240592. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The security and socioeconomic development of China's border areas are of great significance to the nation and the wider world. Using census, statistical, digital elevation model (DEM) and network data, this paper employs visual analysis to capture population distribution patterns in China's 131 border counties from 1982 to 2010. Multiple stepwise regression is carried out to identify the influencing factors of population dynamics in border regions. The main findings include: China's most heavily populated border areas are primarily in the northeast, northwest, and the Guangxi-Yunnan region, while rapid growth of population is found in western Inner Mongolia, southwest Xinjiang, northwest Tibet, and southern Yunnan. Given the increasingly market-oriented migration mechanism, the national reclamation policy has been no longer effective in population attraction in the new century. Education has significantly lowered and will continuously lower the fertility rate in remote border areas. The factors influencing population growth show a remarkable regional heterogeneity along China's long border.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Censuses
  • China / epidemiology
  • Demography / economics
  • Developing Countries / economics
  • Economic Development*
  • Emigration and Immigration / trends*
  • Employment / economics
  • Geography / economics
  • Humans
  • Literacy
  • Policy
  • Population Density
  • Population Dynamics*
  • Population Growth*
  • Security Measures
  • Tibet / epidemiology

Grants and funding

Fieldworks in Xinjiang and Yunnan were funded by National Key Research and Development Program of China (https://service.most.gov.cn/sbzn/20180914/2698.html, Grant No 2018YFD1100803, TL received the funding). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.