Compound distributions for financial returns

PLoS One. 2020 Oct 2;15(10):e0239652. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239652. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

In this paper, we propose six Student's t based compound distributions where the scale parameter is randomized using functional forms of the half normal, Fréchet, Lomax, Burr III, inverse gamma and generalized gamma distributions. For each of the proposed distribution, we give expressions for the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, moments and characteristic function. GARCH models with innovations taken to follow the compound distributions are fitted to the data using the method of maximum likelihood. For the sample data considered, we see that all but two of the proposed distributions perform better than two popular distributions. Finally, we perform a simulation study to examine the accuracy of the best performing model.

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Financial Management / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Investments / statistics & numerical data
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Models, Economic*
  • Models, Statistical
  • Statistical Distributions

Grants and funding

The authors received no specific funding for this work.