Purpose: Oral emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate was approved for use as pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in 2012. We used national pharmacy data to examine trends of PrEP use in U.S. counties from 2012 to 2018.
Methods: Using multi-level small-area spatio-temporal modeling, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in prevalence of PrEP use in the general population from 2012 to 2018. We also used a proxy measure for prevalence of PrEP use among men who have sex with men (MSM) to evaluate trends of use among MSM, the PrEP use-to-MSM ratio (PmR) or number of male PrEP users per 1000 MSM population.
Results: The prevalence of PrEP use and PmR increased (EAPC range: (+26.9%, +71.0%) and (+28.4%, +158.7%), respectively) in all counties with varying magnitude of increase. Counties of the Midwest and the upper South and upper West had the slowest increase in prevalence of PrEP use (EAPC range: (+26.9%; +52.9%)). Counties of the northern part of the South had the lowest PmR (EAPC range: (+28.4%; +76.0%)). Counties of the most populous core-based statistical areas had a relatively faster increase in population prevalence of PrEP use but slower increase in PmR.
Conclusions: All counties in the U.S. have witnessed an increase in PrEP use with important geographic variabilities. Identifying areas with slow improvement in PrEP use, as well as "model counties" with the fastest pace of progress in PrEP coverage, is critical to inform local and state-level policies and program evaluation for PrEP scale up, particularly among MSM at higher risk for HIV.
Keywords: HIV; Hierarchical Bayesian modeling; Men who have sex with men (MSM); Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP); Spatio–temporal change.
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