Lessons from the past, policies for the future: resilience and sustainability in past crises

Environ Syst Decis. 2020;40(2):287-297. doi: 10.1007/s10669-020-09778-9. Epub 2020 May 24.

Abstract

This article surveys some examples of the ways past societies have responded to environmental stressors such as famine, war, and pandemic. We show that people in the past did think about system recovery, but only on a sectoral scale. They did perceive challenges and respond appropriately, but within cultural constraints and resource limitations. Risk mitigation was generally limited in scope, localized, and again determined by cultural logic that may not necessarily have been aware of more than symptoms, rather than actual causes. We also show that risk-managing and risk-mitigating arrangements often favored the vested interests of elites rather than the population more widely, an issue policy makers today still face.

Keywords: Complex historical societies; Environmental stress; Existential risk; Government responses; Inequality; Pandemic; Plague; Resilience; Risk mitigation; System recovery.