Impact of climate and ambient air pollution on the epidemic growth during COVID-19 outbreak in Japan

Environ Res. 2020 Nov:190:110042. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110042. Epub 2020 Aug 12.

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) rapidly spread worldwide in the first quarter of 2020 and resulted in a global crisis. Investigation of the potential association of the spread of the COVID-19 infection with climate or ambient air pollution could lead to the development of preventive strategies for disease control. To examine this association, we conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 28 geographical areas of Japan with documented outbreaks of COVID-19. We analyzed data obtained from March 13 to April 6, 2020, before the Japanese government declared a state of emergency. The results revealed that the epidemic growth of COVID-19 was significantly associated with increase in daily temperature or sunshine hours. This suggests that an increase in person-to-person contact due to increased outing activities on a warm and/or sunny day might promote the transmission of COVID-19. Our results also suggested that short-term exposure to suspended particles might influence respiratory infections caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Further research by well-designed or well-controlled study models is required to ascertain this effect. Our findings suggest that weather has an indirect role in the transmission of COVID-19 and that daily adequate preventive behavior decreases the transmission.

Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemic growth; Particulate matter; Sunshine; Temperature.

MeSH terms

  • Activities of Daily Living*
  • Air Pollution* / analysis
  • Betacoronavirus
  • COVID-19
  • Climate*
  • Coronavirus Infections* / transmission
  • Coronavirus*
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Japan
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Pandemics*
  • Pneumonia, Viral* / transmission
  • SARS-CoV-2