Deep learning for risk prediction in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma using multi-parametric MRIs

Abstract

Background: Magnetic resonance images (MRI) is the main diagnostic tool for risk stratification and treatment decision in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the holistic feature information of multi-parametric MRIs has not been fully exploited by clinicians to accurately evaluate patients.

Objective: To help clinicians fully utilize the missed information to regroup patients, we built an end-to-end deep learning model to extract feature information from multi-parametric MRIs for predicting and stratifying the risk scores of NPC patients.

Methods: In this paper, we proposed an end-to-end multi-modality deep survival network (MDSN) to precisely predict the risk of disease progression of NPC patients. Extending from 3D dense net, this proposed MDSN extracted deep representation from multi-parametric MRIs (T1w, T2w, and T1c). Moreover, deep features and clinical stages were integrated through MDSN to more accurately predict the overall risk score (ORS) of individual NPC patient.

Result: A total of 1,417 individuals treated between January 2012 and December 2014 were included for training and validating the end-to-end MDSN. Results were then tested in a retrospective cohort of 429 patients included in the same institution. The C-index of the proposed method with or without clinical stages was 0.672 and 0.651 on the test set, respectively, which was higher than the that of the stage grouping (0.610).

Conclusions: The C-index of the model which integrated clinical stages with deep features is 0.062 higher than that of stage grouping alone (0.672 vs 0.610). We conclude that features extracted from multi-parametric MRIs based on MDSN can well assist the clinical stages in regrouping patients.

Keywords: Deep learning; Magnetic resonance images; Nasopharyngeal carcinoma; Risk prediction; Survival analysis.