Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are the most frequent underlying causes of splanchnic vein thromboses (SVTs). MPN patients with SVTs (MPN-SVT) often have a unique presentation including younger age, female predominance, and low Janus kinase 2 (JAK2) mutation allele burden. This study aimed at identifying risk factors for adverse hematologic outcomes in MPN-SVT patients. We performed a retrospective study of a fully characterized cohort of MPN-SVT patients. The primary outcome was the incidence of evolution to myelofibrosis, acute leukemia, or death. Eighty patients were included in the testing cohort. Median follow-up was 11 years. Most of the patients were women with a mean age of 42 years and a diagnosis of polycythemia vera. The primary outcome was met in 13% of the patients and was associated with a JAK2V617F allele burden ≥50% (odds ratio [OR], 14.7) and presence of additional mutations in genes affecting chromatin/spliceosome (OR, 9). We identified high-risk patients (29% of the cohort) as those harboring at least 1 molecular risk factor: JAK2-mutant allele burden ≥50%, presence of chromatin/spliceosome/TP53 mutation. High-risk patients had worse event-free survival (81% vs 100%; P = .001) and overall survival at 10 years (89% vs 100%; P = .01) than low-risk patients. These results were confirmed in an independent validation cohort of 30 MPN-SVT patients. In conclusion, molecular profiling identified MPN-SVT patients with dismal outcome. In this high-risk population, a disease-modifying therapy should be taken into consideration to minimize the probability of transformation.
© 2020 by The American Society of Hematology.