Machine learning-based prediction of acute coronary syndrome using only the pre-hospital 12-lead electrocardiogram

Nat Commun. 2020 Aug 7;11(1):3966. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-17804-2.

Abstract

Prompt identification of acute coronary syndrome is a challenge in clinical practice. The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is readily available during initial patient evaluation, but current rule-based interpretation approaches lack sufficient accuracy. Here we report machine learning-based methods for the prediction of underlying acute myocardial ischemia in patients with chest pain. Using 554 temporal-spatial features of the 12-lead ECG, we train and test multiple classifiers on two independent prospective patient cohorts (n = 1244). While maintaining higher negative predictive value, our final fusion model achieves 52% gain in sensitivity compared to commercial interpretation software and 37% gain in sensitivity compared to experienced clinicians. Such an ultra-early, ECG-based clinical decision support tool, when combined with the judgment of trained emergency personnel, would help to improve clinical outcomes and reduce unnecessary costs in patients with chest pain.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / diagnosis*
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / diagnostic imaging*
  • Algorithms
  • Databases as Topic
  • Electrocardiography*
  • Female
  • Hospitals*
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • ROC Curve
  • Reference Standards