Background: Previous studies have investigated the relationship of the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index with the incidence of cardiovascular events. However, to date, there have been no studies comparing the predictive values of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycosylated hemoglobin A (HbA1C) and the TyG index for the risk of cardiovascular events. This study aimed to use discordance analysis to evaluate and compare the effectiveness of FPG, HbA1C and the TyG index to predict the risk of cardiovascular events.
Methods: Patients diagnosed with acute coronary disease (ACS) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) were enrolled in this study. The TyG index was computed using the following formula: ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × FPG (mg/dL)/2]. We categorized patients into 4 concordance/discordance groups. Discordance was defined as a TyG index equal to or greater than the median and an FPG or HbA1C less than the median, or vice versa. The primary outcome was the composite of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke and unplanned repeat revascularization. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was performed to estimate the risk of cardiovascular events according to the concordance/discordance groups. Sensitivity analysis was performed on each patient group divided into high or low categories for HbA1C or FPG and were repeated according to diabetes status.
Results: In total, 9285 patients were included in the final statistical analysis (male: 75.3%, age: 59.9 ± 10.05 years, BMI: 26.2 ± 9.21 kg/m2, diabetes: 43.9% and dyslipidemia: 76.8%). The medians defining concordance/discordance were 6.19 mmol/L for FPG, 6.1% for HbA1C and 8.92 for the TyG index. The TyG index was strongly related to triglycerides and HDL-C (r = 0.881 and -0.323, respectively; both P < 0.001). During the 17.4 ± 2.69 months of follow-up, there were 480 (5.1%) incident cardiovascular events. Among patients with a lower HbA1C or FPG, 15.6% and 16.3%, respectively, had a discordantly high TyG index and a greater risk of cardiovascular events compared with patients with a concordantly low TyG index after full adjustment (HR: 1.92, 95% CI 1.33-2.77; HR: 1.89, 95% CI 1.38-2.59; for HbA1C and FPG, respectively). Repeat risk estimation using high or low categories for FPG or HbA1C and diabetes status confirmed the results.
Conclusions: Patients with a discordantly high TyG index had a significantly greater risk of cardiovascular events regardless of diabetes status. The TyG index might be a better predictor of cardiovascular risk than FPG or HbA1C for patients with ACS undergoing PCI. This discordance may support better cardiovascular risk management regardless of diabetes status.
Keywords: Acute coronary syndrome; Blood glucose; Glycosylated hemoglobin A; Percutaneous coronary intervention; Prognosis; Triglyceride glucose index.