Mitigating the Twin Threats of Climate-Driven Atlantic Hurricanes and COVID-19 Transmission

Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2020 Aug;14(4):494-503. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.243. Epub 2020 Jul 14.

Abstract

The co-occurrence of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season and the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic creates complex dilemmas for protecting populations from these intersecting threats. Climate change is likely contributing to stronger, wetter, slower-moving, and more dangerous hurricanes. Climate-driven hazards underscore the imperative for timely warning, evacuation, and sheltering of storm-threatened populations - proven life-saving protective measures that gather evacuees together inside durable, enclosed spaces when a hurricane approaches. Meanwhile, the rapid acquisition of scientific knowledge regarding how COVID-19 spreads has guided mass anti-contagion strategies, including lockdowns, sheltering at home, physical distancing, donning personal protective equipment, conscientious handwashing, and hygiene practices. These life-saving strategies, credited with preventing millions of COVID-19 cases, separate and move people apart. Enforcement coupled with fear of contracting COVID-19 have motivated high levels of adherence to these stringent regulations. How will populations react when warned to shelter from an oncoming Atlantic hurricane while COVID-19 is actively circulating in the community? Emergency managers, health care providers, and public health preparedness professionals must create viable solutions to confront these potential scenarios: elevated rates of hurricane-related injury and mortality among persons who refuse to evacuate due to fear of COVID-19, and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases among hurricane evacuees who shelter together.

Keywords: COVID-19; climate change; climate drivers; evacuation; hurricane; mitigation; pandemic; sheltering.

MeSH terms

  • Atlantic Ocean / epidemiology
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology
  • COVID-19 / mortality
  • COVID-19 / prevention & control*
  • Climate Change
  • Cyclonic Storms / mortality
  • Cyclonic Storms / prevention & control*
  • Cyclonic Storms / statistics & numerical data
  • Emergency Shelter / methods
  • Emergency Shelter / trends
  • Humans
  • Pandemics / prevention & control*
  • Pandemics / statistics & numerical data
  • Public Health / instrumentation
  • Public Health / methods
  • Public Health / trends
  • Risk Management / methods*
  • Risk Management / standards
  • Risk Management / trends