The prevalence of high childhood blood pressure (BP) is rising globally and has been associated with subclinical vascular impairments in children. Longitudinal data on the association of microvascular alterations with the development of high BP in children are lacking. We aimed to analyze the association of central retinal arteriolar (CRAE) and venular (CRVE) diameters with development of higher BP over 4 years in young school children. In 2014, 391 children aged 6 to 8 years were screened for BP and retinal vessel diameters using standardized protocols. Retinal vessel analysis was performed using a retinal vessel analyzer to determine CRAE and central retinal venular equivalent. In the follow-up of 2018, all parameters were assessed in 262 children using the same standardized protocols. During follow-up, systolic and diastolic BP increased significantly (Δ 3.965±8.25 and 1.733±7.63 mm Hg, respectively), while CRAE decreased by Δ -6.325±8.55 µm without significant changes in central retinal venular equivalent (Δ -0.163±7.94 µm). Children with narrower CRAE at baseline developed higher systolic BP after four years (β [95% CI] 0.78 [0.170-1.398] mm Hg per 10 µm decrease, P=0.012). Children with increased systolic or diastolic BP at baseline developed narrower CRAE (β [95% CI] -0.154 [-0.294 to -0.014] µm per 1mmHg, P=0.031 and β [95% CI] -0.02 [-0.344 to -0.057] µm per 1 mmHg, P=0.006, respectively) at follow-up. Narrowing of retinal arterioles predicted evolution of systolic BP. In turn, higher initial systolic and diastolic BP was associated with subsequent development of microvascular impairments. Our results give good evidence for a bivariate temporal relationship between BP and microvascular health in children.
Keywords: blood pressure; cardiovascular risk; child; primary prevention; retinal vessels.