Air pollution characteristics and human health risks in key cities of northwest China

Abstract

Air pollution events occur frequently in northwest China, which results in serious detrimental effects on human health. Therefore, it is essential to understand the air pollution characteristics and assess the risks to humans. In this study, we analyzed the pollution characteristics of criteria pollutants in six key cities in northwest China from 2015 to 2018. We used the air quality index (AQI), aggregate AQI (AAQI), and health-risk based AQI (HAQI) to assess the health risks and determine the proportion of people exposed to air pollution. Additionally, on this basis, the AirQ_2.2.3 model was used to quantify the health effects of the pollutants. The results showed that PM₁₀ pollution occurred mainly in spring and winter and was caused by frequent dust storms. PM_2.5 pollution was caused mainly by anthropogenic activities (especially coal-fired heating in winter). Because of a series of government policies and pollutant reduction measures, PM_2.5, SO₂, NO₂, and CO concentrations showed a downward trend during the study period (except for a small increase in the case of NO₂ in some years.). However, O₃ showed high concentrations due to the high intensity of solar radiation in summer and inadequate emission reduction measures. The air quality levels based on their classification were generally higher than the Chinese ambient air quality standard classified by the AQI index. We also found that the higher the AQI index was, the more serious the air pollution classified based on the AAQI and HAQI indices was. The HAQI index could better reflect the impact of pollutants on human health. Based on the HAQI index, 20% of the population in the study area was exposed to polluted air. The total mortality values attributable to PM₁₀, PM_2.5, SO₂, O₃, NO₂, and CO, quantified by the AirQ_2.2.3 model, were 3.00%, 1.02%, 1.00%, 4.22%, 1.57%, and 0.95% (Confidence Interval:95%), respectively; the attributable proportions of mortality for respiratory system and cardiovascular diseases were consistent with the change rule of total mortality, because the number of deaths attributable to the latter was greater than that for the former. According to the exposure reaction curves of pollutants, PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 still showed a large change at high concentrations. However, the tendencies of SO₂, NO₂, CO, and O₃ were more obvious under low concentration exposure, which indicated that the expected mortality rate due to lower air pollution concentrations was much higher than the mortality due to high air pollution concentrations.

Keywords: Air pollutant; Air quality index; AirQ(2.2.3) model; Health risk assessment.