Objective: We aimed to evaluate the impact of minimal extrathyroidal extension (mETE) alone on the risk of recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The impact of other factors, including multifocality, age, tumor size, and stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) values was also assessed.
Subjects and methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,108 PTC patients from a medical institution, who presented tumors ≤ 4 cm without any adverse characteristics other than mETE. Patients were classified according to their response to initial treatment 12 to 24 months after surgery as proposed by the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guideline. Statistical analysis was performed using multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results: In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, mETE did not have an impact on the response to initial treatment (p = 0.44), similar to multifocality, age, and tumor size. Initial Tg value was the only variable associated with a poor response (p < 0.01, odds ratio = 1.303, 95% confidence interval 1.25-1.36). The ROC analysis revealed that Tg was significant (area under curve = 0.8750); the cutoff value of sTg as a predictor of poor response was 10 ng/mL (sensitivity = 72.2%, specificity = 98.5%).
Conclusion: For low-risk PTC presenting mETE as the only aggressive feature, the initial sTg value is essential to identify patients who may have a poor response after initial treatment and benefit from further treatment. Arch Endocrinol Metab. 2020;64(3):251-6.