Background: The relationship between the Epworth sleepiness scale (ESS) and the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) is uncertain and even poor. The major problem associated with the ESS might be a lack of consideration of weight in prediction in clinical practice. Would awarding different item-scores to the four scales of ESS items to develop a weighted ESS scoring system improve the accuracy of the AHI prediction? It is warranted to explore the intriguing hypotheses.
Methods: Seven hundred fifty-six adult patients with suspicion of obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome (OSAS) were prospectively recruited to a derivation cohort. This was tested against a prospective validation cohort of 810 adult patients with suspected OSAS. Each ESS item's increased odds ratio for the corresponding AHI was calculated using univariate logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic curves were created and the areas under the curves (AUCs) were calculated to illustrate and compare the accuracy of the indices.
Results: The higher the ESS item-score, the closer the relationship with the corresponding AHI. The odds ratios decreased as a result of the increased AHI. The ESS items were of unequal weight in predicting the corresponding AHI and a weighted ESS was developed. The coincidence rates with the corresponding AHI, body mass indices, and neck circumferences rose as the scores increased, whereas nocturnal nadir oxygen saturations decreased, and the weighted ESS was more strongly associated with these indices, compared with the ESS. The capability in predicting the patients without OSAS or with severe OSAS was strong, especially the latter, and the weighted ESS orchestrated manifest improvement in screening the patients with simple snoring. The patterns of sensitivities, specificities, and Youden's indices of the four ranks of weighted ESS for predicting the corresponding AHI were better than those of the ESS, and the AUCs of weighted ESS were greater than the corresponding areas of ESS in the two cohorts.
Conclusions: The weighted ESS orchestrated significant improvement in predicting the AHI, indicating that the capability in predicting the patients without OSAS or with severe OSAS was strong, which might have implications for clinical triage decisions to prioritize patients for polysomnography.
Keywords: Apnea-hypopnea index; Epworth sleepiness scale; Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome; Priority; Weighted Epworth sleepiness scale.