Maize seeds are routinely coated with insecticide to target Agriotes spp. larvae (wireworms). However, in order to find fields where pest control is actually needed, it might be useful to estimate the adult Agriotes population levels and thus the pressure they exert, with a low-cost risk assessment tool, such as YATLORf (Yf) sex pheromone traps. A database containing 17 consecutive years (1998-2014) of field monitoring was analyzed, with information including both pheromone-trap catches of adults and maize-plant damage by wireworms. Significant associations were discovered between seasonal adult catches in-field, subsequent wireworm populations, and plant damage/yield reduction. When each trap contained over 1,100 A. sordidus adults and over 210 A. brevis adults one year prior (Y-1), the risk of 15%-plus plant damage in Year 0 (Y0) increased by 6 times and 37 times respectively when compared with lower numbers. More than 1,000 A. brevis adults/trap two years prior (Y-2) increased the risk of 15%-plus plant damage in Y0 by 13 times when compared with lower numbers. Cumulative thresholds were also found in Y-1 and Y-2 at the same site. Yf threshold values allowed us to detect fields with a negligible crop-damage risk and thus to reduce the use of insecticides.