Prediction of Oncotype DX recurrence score using deep multi-layer perceptrons in estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer

Breast Cancer. 2020 Sep;27(5):1007-1016. doi: 10.1007/s12282-020-01100-4. Epub 2020 May 8.

Abstract

Oncotype DX (ODX) is a multi-gene expression signature designed for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer patients to predict the recurrence score (RS) and chemotherapy (CT) benefit. The aim of our study is to develop a prediction tool for the three RS's categories based on deep multi-layer perceptrons (DMLP) and using only the morphoimmunohistological variables. We performed a retrospective cohort of 320 patients who underwent ODX testing from three French hospitals. Clinico-pathological characteristics were recorded. We built a supervised machine learning classification model using Matlab software with 152 cases for the training and 168 cases for the testing. Three classifiers were used to learn the three risk categories of the ODX, namely the low, intermediate, and high risk. Experimental results provide the area under the curve (AUC), respectively, for the three risk categories: 0.63 [95% confidence interval: (0.5446, 0.7154), p < 0.001], 0.59 [95% confidence interval: (0.5031, 0.6769), p < 0.001], 0.75 [95% confidence interval: (0.6184, 0.8816), p < 0.001]. Concordance rate between actual RS and predicted RS ranged from 53 to 56% for each class between DMLP and ODX. The concordance rate of low and intermediate combined risk group was 85%.We developed a predictive machine learning model that could help to define patient's RS. Moreover, we integrated histopathological data and DMLP results to select tumor for ODX testing. Thus, this process allows more relevant use of histopathological data, and optimizes and enhances this information.

Keywords: Breast cancer; Deep multi-layer perceptrons; Histopathological feature; Oncotype DX; Prognostic factor.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / genetics*
  • Breast / pathology
  • Breast Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Breast Neoplasms / genetics*
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology
  • Breast Neoplasms / therapy
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Gene Expression Profiling
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Genetic*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / epidemiology*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / genetics
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Receptor, ErbB-2 / metabolism
  • Receptors, Estrogen / metabolism
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Supervised Machine Learning

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Receptors, Estrogen
  • ERBB2 protein, human
  • Receptor, ErbB-2