Compiling information concerning changes in ecological space quality (ESQ) is imperative for urban management and restoration, as proper management promotes sustainable development. Most previous studies have lacked a comprehensive model for evaluating ESQ and are thus unable to provide effective support for decision-makers. Based on the purpose of policy and needs of the public, this paper constructs a comprehensive adaptive evaluation model for mapping ESQ using the Pearl River Delta (PRD) urban agglomeration as an example, and the analysis uncovers the driving forces of urbanization indicators of ESQ change. From 2000 to 2017, the overall ESQ was considered as good, but the overall value decreased slightly, from 52.8 to 51.5. ESQ in the central PRD exhibited a notable downward trend, while coastal cities exhibited an upward trend. There was an approximate negative correlation between ESQ and the urbanization indexes, except for education level and the proportion of primary industry. In the PRD, rural population density, the proportion of primary industry, and education level were the important drivers of magnitude and direction in most cities, but their impacts differed across cities. The ecological management lacked control of in areas good and moderate ESQ, and this was the main factor resulting in the decline of regional ESQ. By quantifying ESQ and the spatially explicit urbanization drivers, the potential for ecological management in the urban agglomeration is also discussed.
Keywords: Ecological management; Ecological quality assessment; Ecological space; Urban agglomeration; Urbanization.
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