A Bio-Economic Crop Yield Response (BECYR) Model for Corn and Soybeans in Ontario, Canada for 1959-2013

Sci Rep. 2020 Apr 24;10(1):7006. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-63765-3.

Abstract

This paper presents estimates of the effects of changing climate on crop yields for grain corn and soybeans in Ontario, Canada, for 1959-2013. We were able to use a database that is more comprehensive with respect to explanatory variables than some previous efforts had available. Our model includes climate variables, prices, land quality, groundwater level, CO2 concentration, and a time trend. Our results indicate that trends in temperature and precipitation during our study period have not yet resulted in appreciable threats to crop yields in the region.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Carbon Dioxide / metabolism
  • Glycine max / metabolism
  • Glycine max / physiology*
  • Groundwater
  • Temperature
  • Zea mays / metabolism
  • Zea mays / physiology*

Substances

  • Carbon Dioxide