Describing dengue epidemics: Insights from simple mechanistic models

AIP Conf Proc. 2012 Sep 26;1479(1):1307-1310. doi: 10.1063/1.4756395.

Abstract

We present a set of nested models to be applied to dengue fever epidemiology. We perform a qualitative study in order to show how much complexity we really need to add into epidemiological models to be able to describe the fluctuations observed in empirical dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence data offering a promising perspective on inference of parameter values from dengue case notifications.