Severity assessment of accidents involving roadside trees based on occupant injury analysis

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 7;15(4):e0231030. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231030. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

The aims of this study were to achieve a quantitative assessment of the severity of accidents involving roadside trees on highways and to propose corresponding safety measures to reduce accident losses. This paper used the acceleration severity index (ASI), head injury criteria (HIC) and chest resultant acceleration (CRA) as indicators of occupant injuries and horizontal radii, vehicle departure speeds, tree diameters and roadside tree spacing as research variables to carry out bias collision tests between cars, trucks and trees by constructing a vehicle rigid body system and an occupant multibody system in PC-crash 10.0® simulation software. A total of 2,256 data points were collected. For straight and curved segments of highways, the occupant injury evaluation models of cars were fitted based on the CRA, and occupant injury evaluation models of trucks and cars were fitted based on the ASI. According to the Fisher optimal segmentation method, reasonable classification standards of severities of accidents involving roadside trees and the corresponding ASI and CRA thresholds were determined, and severity assessment methods for accidents involving roadside trees based on the CRA and ASI were provided. Additionally, a new index by which to evaluate the accuracy of the accident severity classification and the degree of misclassification was built and applied for the validity verification of the proposed severity assessment methods. A proportion of trucks was introduced to further improve the ASI evaluation model. For the same simulation conditions, the results show that driver chest injuries are more serious than driver head injuries and that the average ASI of cars is greater than that of trucks. The CRA and ASI have a positive linear correlation with the departure speed and a logarithmic correlation with the roadside tree diameters. The larger the spacing of roadside trees is and the smaller the horizontal radius is, the smaller the chance that a vehicle will experience a second collision and the lower the risk of occupant injury. In method validation, the evaluation results from two proposed severity assessment methods based on the CRA and ASI are consistent, and the degrees of misclassification are 4.65% and 4.26%, respectively, which verifies the accuracy of the methods proposed in this paper and confirms that the ASI can be employed as an effective index for evaluating occupant injuries in accidents involving roadside trees.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Traffic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Craniocerebral Trauma / epidemiology
  • Craniocerebral Trauma / etiology
  • Humans
  • Models, Statistical
  • Thoracic Injuries / epidemiology
  • Thoracic Injuries / etiology
  • Trees*
  • Wounds and Injuries / epidemiology
  • Wounds and Injuries / etiology*

Grants and funding

This study was supported by The National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2018YFB1600902) to YP, The MOE Layout Foundation of Humanities and Social Sciences (No. 18YJAZH009) to GC and The National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51778063) to LX. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.