Prior history of acute pancreatitis predicts poor survival in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Background/objectives: Mounting evidence has suggested that acute pancreatitis (AP) is a risk factor for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but its role in survival in PDAC patients was rarely investigated. The objective was to investigate the association of a history of AP with survival among PDAC patients who underwent surgical resection.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study comprising 632 patients who were diagnosed with resectable PDAC was conducted. Survival was evaluated by history of AP prior to a diagnosis of PDAC using Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests. Multivariate analyses for mortality were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Propensity score matching methods were used to balance the difference of clinical characteristics between patients with and without AP history.

Results: The log-rank tests showed that patients with a history of AP had a worse overall survival than those without a history of AP (p = 0.006). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for mortality comparing participants with AP to those without AP was 1.808 (95% CI: 1.241-2.632, p = 0.002). Patients with a recent history of AP (<2 years), rather than patients with a remote history of AP (≥2 years), were found to have significantly worse survival (p = 0.014) than those without a history of AP. After adjusted for PSM, history of AP remained an independent survival predictor of PDAC following surgical resection.

Conclusions: Our findings indicate that a history of AP, especially a recent history of AP, is associated with poor survival among patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; Propensity score matching; Survival.