Patterns and changes in life expectancy in China, 1990-2016

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 1;15(4):e0231007. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231007. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Objective: To achieve the goal of "healthy China 2030", reasonable health policies must be developed based on the changes of death spectrum. We aim to investigate the temporal patterns of life expectancy (LE) and age/cause-specific contributions from 1990 to 2016.

Methods: Joinpoint regression model was used with Arriaga's decomposition method.

Results: LE in China has reached to 76.3 years in 2016 with an increase of 9.44 years from 1990. From 1990 to 2002, a remarkable reduction in infant mortality accounted for an increase of 1.27 years (35.39%) to LE which mainly resulted from diarrhea, lower respiratory, and other common infectious diseases (1.00 years, 27.79%). After 2002, those aged 65+ years contributed most to increased LE and the most prominent causes included cardiovascular diseases (0.67 years, 23.36%), chronic respiratory diseases (0.54 years, 18.76%) and neoplasms (0.39 years, 13.44%). Moreover, the effects of transport injuries changed from negative to positive. After 2007, contributions of transport and unintentional injuries increased especially for males. And for females contributions of cardiovascular diseases sharply increased LE by 1.17 years (32.26%).

Conclusion: More attention should be paid to cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases and neoplasms which were mainly attributed to the increase of LE, especially for males and elderly population.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality
  • Cause of Death
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • China / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Life Expectancy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Neoplasms / mortality
  • Respiratory Tract Diseases / mortality
  • Sex Factors
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This study was supported by Wuxi Key Medical Disciplines (ZDXK010), Wuxi Eminent Medical Talents (ZDRC004), Wuxi Youth Medical Talents (QNRC050), Foundation of Wuxi Science and Technology Bureau (WX18IIAN038), Major Foundation of Wuxi Health Commission (Z201905), Youth Foundation of Wuxi Health and Family Planning Commission (Q201802, Q201735) and Youth Foundation of Wuxi Health Commission (Q201944).