Objective: Detectable serum thyroglobulin (Tg) in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) after total thyroidectomy indicates progression of the disease. Thyroglobulin doubling-time (TgDT) is a powerful prognostic predictor in patients with DTC. We aimed to evaluate the value of the dynamic TgDT for early detection of progressive disease (PD) in the patients of metastatic DTC with I radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy.
Methods: We retrospectively evaluated 21 patients undergoing RAI therapy with metastatic DTC. Patients were defined as PD or non-PD according to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors 1.1. TgDT was calculated by Excel-based software using Tg values measured during routine follow-up. Whole data (WDT), initial four data (IDT) and recent four data (RDT) of TgDT after total thyroidectomy were calculated and compared.
Results: Among the 21 patients (10 men; median age, 62 years old; range, 33-80), 11 patients were classified into PD and 10 were into non-PD. The initial Tg after total thyroidectomy showed a significant difference between PD and non-PD patients (P = 0.013). Short WDT, IDT and RDT (less than one year) showed a high correlation with PD (P < 0.05). RDT showed the highest predictive value for PD (P < 0.001). All the 11 PD patients showed RDT less than one year before PD (median follow-up, 157 days; range, 88-252).
Conclusions: RDT is a powerful PD predictor in patients with metastatic DTC. Dynamic monitoring of RDT should be applied for the early detection of PD in clinic.