Background: To date, there has been no reliable in vitro test to either diagnose or differentiate nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID)-exacerbated respiratory disease (N-ERD). The aim of the present study was to develop and validate an artificial neural network (ANN) for the prediction of N-ERD in patients with asthma.
Methods: This study used a prospective database of patients with N-ERD (n = 121) and aspirin-tolerant (n = 82) who underwent aspirin challenge from May 2014 to May 2018. Eighteen parameters, including clinical characteristics, inflammatory phenotypes based on sputum cells, as well as eicosanoid levels in induced sputum supernatant (ISS) and urine were extracted for the ANN.
Results: The validation sensitivity of ANN was 94.12% (80.32%-99.28%), specificity was 73.08% (52.21%-88.43%), and accuracy was 85.00% (77.43%-92.90%) for the prediction of N-ERD. The area under the receiver operating curve was 0.83 (0.71-0.90).
Conclusions: The designed ANN model seems to have powerful prediction capabilities to provide diagnosis of N-ERD. Although it cannot replace the gold-standard aspirin challenge test, the implementation of the ANN might provide an added value for identification of patients with N-ERD. External validation in a large cohort is needed to confirm our results.
Keywords: artificial neural network; aspirin-tolerant asthma; induced sputum; nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID)-exacerbated respiratory disease (N-ERD); support vector machines.
© 2020 The Authors. Allergy published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.