The use of classification and regression tree analysis to identify the optimal surgical timing for improving neurological outcomes following motor-complete thoracolumbar traumatic spinal cord injury

Spinal Cord. 2020 Jun;58(6):682-688. doi: 10.1038/s41393-020-0412-z. Epub 2020 Jan 28.

Abstract

Study design: Observational cohort study.

Objectives: To identify the optimal surgical timing for improving neurological outcomes in patients that sustained a motor-complete traumatic spinal cord injury (TSCI) secondary to a thoracolumbar injury.

Setting: Level 1 trauma center specialized in TSCI care.

Methods: We prospectively analyzed clinical data of 35 patients admitted for motor-complete TSCI secondary to a thoracolumbar injury. We quantified neurological recovery with three different outcomes: the improvement of at least one grade on the American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS), of at least one neurological level of injury (NLI), and of at least 10-points on the motor score (MS). Classification and regression tree analysis was used to identify outcome predictors and to provide cutoff values of surgical timing associated with recovery.

Results: The proportion of the patients improving by at least one AIS grade was higher in the group undergoing early surgery within 25.7 h of the TSCI (46% vs 0%). The proportion of patients that improved by at least one NLI was also higher in the group undergoing early surgery within 21.5 h of the TSCI (71% vs 18%). Lastly, 25% of the AIS grade A patients undergoing early surgery within 25.6 h of the TSCI improved 10 MS points or more as compared with 0% in the other group.

Conclusions: Earlier surgery was effective in improving neurological outcome in motor-complete TSCI at the thoracolumbar levels. Performing surgery within 21.5 h from the traumatic event in these patients increases the likelihood of improving the neurological recovery.

Sponsorship: This study was supported by the Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Santé (FRQS), Department of the Army-United States Army Medical Research Acquisition Activity, Rick Hansen Spinal Cord Injury Registry and Medtronic research chair in spinal trauma at Université de Montréal.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Lumbar Vertebrae / injuries
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neurosurgical Procedures / standards*
  • Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care*
  • Recovery of Function* / physiology
  • Regression Analysis
  • Spinal Cord Injuries / surgery*
  • Statistics as Topic
  • Thoracic Vertebrae / injuries
  • Time Factors